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US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Cremonese (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $725K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Cremonese (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
US Cremonese O/U 0.5100%
US Cremonese O/U 1.5100%
US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
UC Sampdoria (-1.5)0%
US Cremonese (-2.5)0%
UC Sampdoria (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
US Cremonese O/U 2.50%
UC Sampdoria O/U 0.50%
UC Sampdoria O/U 1.50%
UC Sampdoria O/U 2.50%
US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 1.50%
UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 0.50%
UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Coppa Italia fixture between US Cremonese and UC Sampdoria is scheduled for 17 August at 14:45 ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that additional markets—beyond the standard match outcome, goals, and cards markets—will be offered for this game. A NO share bets they won't. The settlement window closes at 18:45 ET on match day, giving the market operator roughly four hours after kick-off to confirm whether supplementary betting options have been made available.

Coppa Italia early-round matches typically attract modest secondary-market coverage compared to Serie A fixtures or later tournament stages. Historical precedent suggests that matches involving lower-tier Italian clubs or early qualifying rounds often see limited market expansion beyond core offerings. However, both Cremonese and Sampdoria carry reasonable brand recognition within Italian football, which could justify broader market depth. The current 100% probability reflects either strong confidence in market expansion or insufficient trading volume to establish a meaningful price discovery process.

Traders should monitor official Coppa Italia scheduling confirmations and any announcements from the match operator regarding market availability. The fixture's timing—mid-August, during the early domestic cup phase—means it competes for operator resources alongside Serie A preparation. Recent Serie B and Coppa Italia coverage patterns suggest markets tend to expand when matches involve clubs with established betting interest, though this remains contingent on operator discretion rather than automatic provision.

Methodology

This page reviews US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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