Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ulsan HD FC | 97% |
| Draw | 2% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
Market context
Ulsan HD and FC Anyang are scheduled to meet in the K League 1 at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, and the market’s **YES** share refers to the proposition settling true if the listed event happens before the deadline, while **NO** pays out if it does not. With crowd-implied probability at **97% YES**, the market is pricing the fixture as almost certain to proceed as described, so most of the remaining uncertainty is about late changes rather than the match itself.[6][10]
Recent comparable meetings show why traders should treat the scoreline as much less certain than the event. Pre-match coverage of earlier Ulsan-Anyang fixtures has alternated between narrow Ulsan-favoured outcomes, a 0-0 draw at Ulsan, and a 3-1 Anyang win, which is a reminder that head-to-head results can vary sharply even when one side is rated stronger.[4][5][11] In April 2026, previews also split on the balance of power, with some models leaning towards Ulsan, others highlighting Anyang’s resilience and draw tendency.[3][12][15]
The main catalysts to watch are team-news releases, kick-off timing, and any league scheduling changes that could move or postpone the fixture before settlement. Ulsan-based previews place the game at 06:30 local time on Sunday, 2 August, and mention the venue as Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, so a venue or time shift would matter for a market tied to the event’s exact description.[5][6][10] In practice, prediction-market pricing here is likely to stay anchored unless official club, league, or broadcast announcements indicate a delay, abandonment, or rescheduling.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang on Prediction Market UK
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