Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ulsan HD FC (-1.5) | 53% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ulsan HD FC (-2.5) | 45% |
| O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 6% |
| O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 5% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ulsan HD FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Ulsan HD FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Ulsan HD FC and FC Anyang are playing a K-League 1 match with the market settling on whether there will be *more markets* available for the game. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the condition is met before settlement, while a **NO** share pays out if it is not; at 53% YES, traders are effectively pricing the event as slightly more likely than not.
Recent comparisons point to a fairly balanced fixture rather than a one-sided one. The sides have met only a handful of times since 2025, with the head-to-head record split and one draw in their two most recent league meetings, including a 1-1 draw in April 2026 and a 3-1 Anyang win in November 2025.[2][5][10][12] That profile matters because markets around live football often remain open only when the match is active, not delayed, abandoned, or otherwise altered; a modestly positive price can therefore reflect expectations about normal match completion rather than team strength alone.[1][6]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: team news, kick-off status, and whether the fixture proceeds as scheduled at 6:30 am ET. Live match pages from SofaScore and Flashscore indicate the game is listed as in progress or live around the scheduled window, which suggests the key dependency is simply that the match starts and continues without interruption.[1][6] If the game is postponed, abandoned, or materially rescheduled, that can affect whether additional in-play or derivative markets appear before the 10:30 UTC settlement time. Recent reporting also shows Ulsan and Anyang have had competitive, tightly contested meetings this season, which supports a watchful approach to timing rather than assuming a broad catalogue of markets will automatically be offered.[5][14]
Methodology
We track Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang - More Markets on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →