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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $311K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 81% YES probability for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRIO…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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