Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

71% Yes — Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Prediction Market

Name: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Start: 2026-07-28T13:01:30.000Z
End: 2026-08-10T23:40:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	71%	29%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	71%	29%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	71%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5	64%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	59%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	56%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	54%
O/U 9.5	52%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	50%
Extra Innings	50%
O/U 6.5	49%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers	41%
Spread -1.5	38%
O/U 7.5	37%
O/U 8.5	29%
Spread -1.5	28%
Spread -2.5	27%
Spread -2.5	19%
NRFI	0%
O/U 5.5	0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. milwaukee brewers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 3 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $342K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporterand

Emma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on Prediction Market UK

Related live markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

National Bank Open: Tereza Valentova vs Taylor Townsend

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Related Topics