FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Cincinnati met the San Jose Earthquakes in MLS on 1 August, with the market settling on whether a defined set of “more markets” outcomes were achieved by the end of the match window. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the event happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not, so a crowd-implied probability of **100% YES** means traders were treating the settlement as virtually certain before the deadline.

Recent head-to-head results point to a match-up that has often produced goals rather than tight margins. FC Cincinnati beat San Jose 4-2 in June 2024 and 6-0 in September 2022, while San Jose’s only win in the series came back in 2019.[1][10][12] The broader pattern also leans high-scoring: recent statistical feeds show both teams frequently involved in matches where both sides score and where totals go over 2.5 goals.[5][8] That sort of profile is useful for reading “more markets” contracts, because the underlying game state can move quickly and produce many alternative scoring, card, or result combinations.

The main catalysts for traders are team news, late line-up changes, and the form each side brought into the fixture. FC Cincinnati entered after a 2-1 loss to Columbus, while San Jose came in after a 1-1 draw with LA Galaxy, and recent previews noted that Cincinnati had gone seven league matches without a clean sheet and San Jose had conceded in 11 straight MLS matchdays.[14][15] For a market tied to match-based outcomes, the key dependencies are who starts, whether key attackers are rested or rotated, and whether either side changes approach because of fixture congestion or standings pressure.[13][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.