Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Minnesota United FC are playing San Diego FC in an MLS match at Allianz Field, and this “More markets” contract settles on whether *additional* listed outcomes or statistics for that game resolve YES before the settlement window closes. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the defined event happens; a NO share pays out if it does not. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% YES, the market is effectively pricing in no expectation that the specified “more markets” condition will be met.

The comparison case for reading this kind of price is the teams’ mixed head-to-head record and San Diego’s stronger season-long profile. ESPN lists San Diego on 63 points from 34 matches and Minnesota on 58 points, while recent head-to-head results include a Minnesota 1-3 San Diego win in September 2025 and a Minnesota 2-4 San Diego win in June 2025, although Minnesota also won 1-2 in San Diego in April 2026.[12][5] That kind of split record means past meetings do not point cleanly in one direction, so a 0% YES price is less about match quality and more about the contract definition and whether the exchange has any qualifying additional markets to settle.

A trader should watch the final market list, official match-centre updates, and any late team news that could affect whether extra props or settlement conditions are posted before the window closes. Sky Sports’ live match page showed the fixture was scheduled for 1:30 am Sunday UK time, with the game at Allianz Field, which is useful because settlement depends on what is actually available for that specific match rather than on the scoreline alone.[11] If the organiser does not add qualifying “more markets” offerings, or if they are not captured in time, the contract can still settle NO even if the match itself is completed normally.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.