New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

New York City FC meeting Toronto FC in MLS is the real-world event behind this market, and an **exact score** market resolves only if the final 90-minute score plus stoppage time matches one of the listed outcomes; if not, it settles to *Any Other Score*. A **YES** share pays out if that specific scoreline happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not, so the current crowd-implied **0% YES** suggests the market is treating the named score as effectively remote rather than impossible.

Head-to-head results give some context for how to read that price. New York City FC has had the better of recent meetings, winning 3–1 on 3 July 2025 and 1–0 away on 26 April 2025, after a run that also included 3–2 and 2–1 wins in 2024 and a 3–0 home win in 2023.[1][17] Broader matchup data also points to NYCFC’s historical edge, with more wins than Toronto across the series and several recent NYCFC home victories, which supports the idea that market pricing will usually favour a home win or a higher-scoring home result over very specific away scorelines.[5][10][11]

The main catalysts to watch are official team news, venue and kick-off confirmation, and any late changes to line-ups or availability, because exact-score markets are highly sensitive to even small shifts in expected goal output. Pre-match form can matter as well: recent stats and previews have shown NYCFC generating more shots and goals than Toronto in some comparable stretches, while Toronto’s away record has been weaker in past club notes.[3][4][18] For a prediction-market reader, the key practical point is that the outcome depends on regulation time only, so a postponed fixture keeps the market open until played, whereas a cancelled match would normally have special settlement rules under the market description.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.