New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

New York City FC host Toronto FC in an MLS match scheduled for 31 July, and a “YES” share on this market pays out if the specific *More markets* outcome settles true by the end of the settlement window at 23:30 UTC. On prediction markets, the crowd-implied probability of 14% means traders are assigning a relatively low chance to that outcome, so the price is best read as the market’s aggregate view rather than a forecast of the final score itself.

Recent head-to-head results suggest New York City FC have had the edge in this fixture, winning the last five meetings listed by ESPN and taking seven of the last eight across that sample[1][2]. The same sources also point to goals being common in the matchup: several recent games landed above 2.5 goals, including a 3-1 New York City win in July 2025 and a 0-1 Toronto loss at home in April 2025[1][2][14]. For a newcomer, that matters because “YES” here is not about who wins the match, but about whether the named additional market condition is triggered.

The main things to watch before kick-off are team news, starting line-ups and any late schedule changes, because those can shift the most likely match pattern and therefore the probability of related “more markets” outcomes. NYCFC’s club preview noted Toronto’s poor away form and a recent run of high-scoring meetings between the sides, which is the sort of context traders use when judging whether the crowd’s 14% is too low or already reflects the likely pre-match setup[7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.