Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam

Platform comparison

Market context

On Monday, 10 August 2026, Jong PSV Eindhoven will face FC Volendam in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie, the country's second tier. A prediction market has priced this fixture at 100% implied probability for a YES outcome, meaning traders are assigning near-certainty to the event occurring as scheduled. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that the specified event will settle affirmatively; a NO share bets against it. Here, YES effectively means the match will take place on the advertised date and time, whilst NO would pay out only if the fixture is postponed, cancelled, or rescheduled beyond the settlement window closing at 18:00 UTC on that day.

Jong PSV, the reserve side of PSV Eindhoven, competes regularly in the Eerste Divisie and has established infrastructure for fixture completion. FC Volendam, based in North Holland, is a professional club with consistent league participation. Historical data on Eerste Divisie cancellations shows weather-related postponements occur infrequently in August, and administrative cancellations are rare absent extraordinary circumstances. The current 100% pricing reflects the baseline expectation that both clubs will field teams and the match will proceed under normal conditions.

Traders monitoring this market should track official Eerste Divisie fixture announcements and any squad availability alerts from either club in the week prior. Weather forecasts for the Volendam region on 10 August will become more precise as the date approaches. Injury or suspension developments affecting key players do not typically trigger market settlement, as they do not prevent fixture completion. Any formal announcement of postponement from the KNVB (Royal Netherlands Football Association) would be the primary catalyst for a NO settlement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

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Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

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