Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 23.5 | 93% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 25.5 | 89% |
| O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| O/U 27.5 | 87% |
| O/U 28.5 | 87% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 86% |
| O/U 29.5 | 85% |
| O/U 21.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Steelers O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| O/U 33.5 | 73% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 11.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 67% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 58% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 53% |
| O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| Steelers O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 51% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| O/U 41.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Steelers O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| O/U 43.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Falcons O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| O/U 45.5 | 35% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Falcons O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 47.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 49.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| Steelers O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 51.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 54.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Falcons O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to falcons vs. steelers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.
Methodology
This page reviews Falcons vs. Steelers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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