Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 24.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Cowboys O/U 17.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 71% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 62% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | 60% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 58% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| Cowboys O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Cowboys O/U 25.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 52.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Giants O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| Cowboys O/U 28.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| O/U 54.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Cowboys O/U 31.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| O/U 68.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Cowboys vs. Giants — current market-implied probability: 93%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 8:20PM ET: If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
This page reviews Cowboys vs. Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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