Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 100% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5 | 76% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hamarkameratene 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hamarkameratene 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Hamarkameratene O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Hamarkameratene O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Hamarkameratene O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Hamarkameratene 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Hamarkameratene 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| Hamarkameratene (-1.5) | 0% |
| Hamarkameratene (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
Market context
Bodø/Glimt are due to play Hamarkameratene in an Eliteserien match, and this prediction market’s “more markets” wording means it is not asking about the final score itself but about whether extra betting-style sub-markets will be added around the fixture. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the listed condition is met before the settlement deadline, while a **NO** share pays out if it is not. The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES means traders are effectively pricing the event as certain to resolve positively.
To read that figure, it helps to compare it with how football markets usually behave when the underlying fixture is already on the schedule. Bodø/Glimt v HamKam is listed for 22 July 2026, which anchors the market to a specific league match rather than an open-ended club event.[1] For beginners, a very high implied probability often reflects that the market is tied to an administrative outcome that is expected to happen automatically unless the fixture is postponed, altered, or the exchange defines the “more markets” condition in an unusual way. In other words, the main uncertainty is usually not the teams playing, but whether the market-settlement criteria are satisfied as written.
The main catalysts to watch are official fixture confirmation, late schedule changes, and any competition-wide rescheduling that could affect whether the market closes inside its settlement window ending 2026-03-22T18:15:00Z. For this kind of market, trader attention typically focuses on whether the game remains on the published calendar, whether kick-off time shifts, and whether the exchange’s rules treat published price boosts or additional sub-markets as eligible outcomes. If a recent club or league announcement were to confirm a postponement or change in match conditions, that would be the most relevant event for price movement.
Sources: 1
Methodology
We track FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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