Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Viking FK (-1.5) | 100% |
| Viking FK (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Viking FK O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Viking FK O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Viking FK O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Viking FK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Start (-1.5) | 0% |
| IK Start (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| IK Start O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Start O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Start O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
IK Start meet Viking FK in an Eliteserien match scheduled for 1 August, and the relevant “More Markets” contract is not about the final score but about whether any of the listed side-markets land before settlement closes at 16:00 UTC. In a prediction market, a **YES** share pays out if the specified condition is met; a **NO** share pays out if it is not, so the current 0% crowd-implied probability says traders see the condition as extremely unlikely at present.
Recent head-to-head data points towards Viking having the stronger record overall, which helps explain why a narrow, highly specific market can be priced close to zero even when the fixture itself is live. FootyStats lists 15 meetings with Viking winning 9, Start 2, and 4 draws, while ESPN and other match-history pages show Viking’s recent wins included a 6-3 league result in May 2026 and a 4-1 league result in November 2020.[1][3][5] That kind of history matters because prediction markets often reflect not just who is favoured, but how often a precise in-game event has occurred in comparable meetings.
Traders should watch team-sheet news, late injury updates, and any change in match timing, because those can alter the chance of a “more markets” outcome before the settlement window closes. The key dependency is whether the specific market condition is still mathematically possible once the game starts and how the listed event develops during play; in football, a market can stay live, move quickly, or become effectively dead within minutes depending on the exact wording.[5][12]
Methodology
This page reviews IK Start vs. Viking FK - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade IK Start vs. Viking FK - More Markets on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →