Boston Legacy FC vs. Washington Spirit

Platform comparison

Market context

On Sunday, 19 July 2026, Boston Legacy FC faced Washington Spirit in a National Women’s Soccer League match at Pucket, Rhode Island. Washington Spirit secured a 2–1 away victory, with goals from defender Tara Rudd and forward Trinity Rodman, moving them to the top of the NWSL table [4]. This result is the real-world event that determines whether the prediction market “Boston Legacy FC vs. Washington Spirit” settles as YES or NO.

In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the stated outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not. Here, the market asks whether Boston Legacy FC will win; since Washington Spirit already won 2–1, the outcome is fixed, and the crowd-implied probability of YES is 0% [4]. Historically, when a match result is confirmed before settlement, markets with 0% probability for the losing side typically remain at zero, as no new information can alter the settled fact. Comparable NWSL fixtures where the away team won decisively have seen similar collapses in probability for the home win, reinforcing that post-match certainty locks in the settlement value.

Traders should monitor official NWSL match reports and team announcements for any rare post-game adjustments, such as disallowed goals or match forfeitures, though none are indicated here [4]. The settlement window closes on 2026-07-19T23:00:00Z, which has already passed relative to the confirmed result, meaning no further catalysts will affect the outcome. With the match fully completed and the result publicly verified, the market is effectively settled, and the 0% YES probability reflects the confirmed loss for Boston Legacy FC [1][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.