CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 match on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio Los Chankas in Andahuaylas, confirming the outcome before the settlement window closed. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the stated event occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the 100% YES probability reflects the match result already being known and verified.

Historically, markets with 100% implied probability after a fixture’s conclusion are rare but straightforward, mirroring cases where results are settled via official league records before trading halts. Unlike pre-match markets where uncertainty drives volatility, this scenario functions as a confirmation mechanism, akin to post-result settlement in horse racing or football where the outcome is indisputable and no further catalysts exist to alter the result.

Traders should monitor official league confirmations from the Peruvian Football Association (APF) and broadcast records from Liga 1 Max, which aired the match live, to ensure the result is formally ratified. With the game already played and the final score confirmed by multiple sources including ESPN and El Comercio, no pending announcements or schedule changes remain relevant; the only dependency is the administrative closure of the market by the platform once verification is complete [1][2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.