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CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $73K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas (-1.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-1.5)0%
CD Los Chankas (-2.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 1.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 2.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association played their Peru Liga 1 match on 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, with the game finishing 1–0 to Los Chankas [4][7]. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s condition is met, while a NO share pays out if it is not; here, the 0% YES probability implies the market has already settled as false, meaning the specific “more markets” condition did not occur in this fixture [1].

Historically, Peru Liga 1 “more markets” (such as total goals or specific scorelines) often hinge on tight defensive displays between lower-table sides. In a recent comparable fixture earlier in 2026, these same teams drew 1–1 in the Torneo Apertura, with both sides scoring [2][5]. However, the Clausura match on 19 July produced a single goal, a pattern that frequently invalidates “over 2.5 goals” or “both teams to score” sub-markets, aligning with the current 0% YES reading for such conditions [4].

Traders should monitor the official match report and league settlement announcements from Liga 1 Peru to confirm which specific “more market” was offered, as minor discrepancies in timing or rule interpretation can affect settlement [7]. With the match already completed and the final score confirmed as 1–0, no further on-field catalysts remain; the only dependency is the platform’s formal confirmation that the market has settled [4]. For new users, this illustrates how post-event markets can lock in probabilities once the outcome is known, removing uncertainty entirely.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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