Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| Dinamo 1948 | 0% |
Market context
On Sunday, 19 July 2026, FC Petrolul Ploieşti faced Dinamo 1948 in a Romania SuperLiga match that ended 1–0 to Petrolul, with Martins scoring a 39th-minute penalty [1][2]. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the stated outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the market asked whether Petrolul would win, and the 100% YES probability reflects the event’s completed result [4].
Historical head-to-head data shows Dinamo 1948 has won two of the five recorded meetings against Petrolul, with three draws and no Petrolul wins prior to this fixture [5]. However, recent SuperLiga encounters have been tight: the last direct match on 30 January 2026 ended 1–1, and Dinamo previously lost 0–2 to Petrolul in an earlier confrontation [4][6]. The current 100% probability aligns with the final score rather than past trends, illustrating how settled outcomes lock in market prices once the event concludes.
Traders should monitor official league confirmations, broadcast listings, and post-match reports to verify settlement conditions. The match was televised live on PRIMA Sport and DIGI Sport, ensuring transparent coverage for result validation [4]. With the settlement window ending on 19 July 2026 at 16:30 UTC—before today’s date—the market has already resolved, and no further catalysts will alter the outcome [1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. Dinamo 1948 on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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