Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dundee United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Rangers FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dundee United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Rangers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dundee United FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Rangers FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Dundee United FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Rangers FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dundee United FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dundee United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dundee United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dundee United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Dundee United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Dundee United and Rangers are due to meet in Scottish Premiership action, and this prediction market asks whether the *more markets* set of outcomes will resolve **YES** by the settlement deadline. A **YES** share pays out if the specific additional market outcomes tied to this fixture are officially offered and settled before 19:00 UTC on 31 July 2026; a **NO** share wins if they are not.
For context, Rangers have dominated this pairing for years. BBC Sport notes Dundee United have failed to beat Rangers in 11 straight league meetings, with three draws and eight defeats, while Rangers have also won their last three league visits to Dundee United and remain unbeaten in 17 away league matches overall[2]. A broader head-to-head record from FootyStats shows 12 Rangers wins, one Dundee United win and four draws across the last 17 meetings[3], which explains why a market priced at 0% YES is reading the event as highly unlikely at present. Recent results also point one way: Rangers beat Dundee United 4-2 on 4 April 2026[14].
Traders should watch for the final matchday paperwork, because this market depends on what is officially listed and resolved under the fixture’s “more markets” section, rather than simply on the final score. The main catalysts are the match being completed as scheduled, the relevant competition and market set being published by the exchange, and any late administrative changes to kickoff time or settlement rules. BBC’s recent stats coverage also underscores how one-sided the underlying form and venue record have been, with Dundee United managing only one clean sheet in their last nine home league matches and Rangers unbeaten in 17 away league fixtures[2].
Methodology
We track Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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