St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

St Johnstone are hosting Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership opener, with the “More Markets” contract settling on whether additional match markets are posted for the game rather than on the result itself. In a prediction market, a YES share pays out if the condition is met and a NO share pays out if it is not, so a 0% crowd-implied YES price means traders are currently assigning no chance that the extra-markets condition will be triggered.

The comparison point for reading that zero is the match’s broader context, which has been relatively familiar: these sides have met often in league football, and recent head-to-head results have swung both ways. BBC Sport notes St Johnstone have lost four of their last six Premiership meetings with Kilmarnock, while Kilmarnock have also had a mixed opening-day record, drawing each of their last three MD1 matches against newly promoted opponents.[1] That matters because “more markets” listings are usually driven by whether a fixture is active enough to attract layered betting interest, not by which club is marginally stronger on paper.

Traders should watch the usual catalysts before the 13:00 UTC settlement deadline: confirmed line-ups, late injury news, and any schedule or feed updates around kickoff at McDiarmid Park.[8][14] Sports Mole’s preview also flags a possible team-news issue for Kilmarnock, with Djenairo Daniels ruled out by a knee injury, which could influence whether the market sees enough pre-match or in-play activity to list additional contracts.[9][17] Since the market is tied to match coverage rather than the scoreline, late broadcast or pricing decisions are the main dependencies.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.