Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 0% |
| Malmo FF (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 0% |
| Malmo FF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Brommapojkarna are hosting Malmö FF in an Allsvenskan match, and this market covers the *other* outcomes or event-linked sub-markets that can sit under a football game rather than the main win-draw-win line. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the listed event happens before settlement, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not. With crowd-implied probability at **0% YES**, the market is pricing the named “more markets” outcome as effectively not expected, so any change usually needs a very specific match event or a reclassification of the settlement condition.
Historically, the fixture has tilted Malmö’s way, which matters when reading a near-zero price. FotMob’s head-to-head record shows Brommapojkarna with **1 win**, Malmö FF with **12 wins**, and **2 draws**, while ESPN lists recent meetings including Malmö’s **3-2** away win in July 2025 and Brommapojkarna’s **2-1** win in May 2025[1][11]. That pattern suggests Malmö have generally been the stronger side, but prediction-market prices on “more markets” are usually driven less by team strength than by whether the exact settlement wording is likely to be triggered.
For traders, the key catalysts are the official match sheet, starting line-ups, late injuries, and any change to kick-off timing or venue, because those are the kinds of updates that can alter whether a settlement condition is met. The fixture is listed for **2 August**, and recent form is mixed: ESPN shows Brommapojkarna coming off a **2-1** defeat to IFK Göteborg and Malmö having drawn **2-2** with Kalmar in their latest league matches[15]. In markets like this, even a small wording change in the market rules or a late administrative update can matter more than the scoreline itself[15][17].
Methodology
We track IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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