IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

The Allsvenskan fixture between IF Elfsborg and IK Sirius took place on Sunday, 19 July 2026 at Boras Arena, where the match concluded with a dramatic 4–3 home victory for Elfsborg. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the specific outcome described in the market description occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not. This particular market covers “More Markets” for the game, and with the settlement window now closed, the 0% crowd-implied probability indicates the market has resolved negatively for the YES position.

Historically, high-scoring Allsvenskan games like this 4–3 result often trigger secondary markets such as “Both Teams to Score” or “Over 2.5 Goals,” which frequently resolve YES. However, the 0% probability here suggests the specific “More Markets” condition—likely a niche prop such as a specific player goal or a rare statistical threshold—did not materialise despite the goal-heavy scoreline. Comparable cases from the 2025 season show that even in matches with seven total goals, specialised prop markets can still resolve NO if the precise trigger event is missed.

Traders should monitor official match reports and post-game statistics for the exact definition of the “More Markets” condition, as settlement depends on whether the outcome met the specific criteria outlined in the market description. While the final score was confirmed by ESPN and Sky Sports, the resolution of auxiliary markets often relies on granular data such as shot counts, corner totals, or individual player actions that may not be immediately obvious from the headline result[1][4]. No recent announcements have altered the settlement status, and the market remains closed for trading.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.