BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

BK Hacken and AIK will meet in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 27 July 2026. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time does not count. A YES share pays out if the match ends in one of the explicitly listed scorelines; a NO share pays out if the result falls outside those options and resolves to "Any Other Score." The 3% implied probability reflects the specificity required—exact scores are inherently rare events, as most matches distribute across dozens of possible outcomes.

Historically, exact-score markets in Allsvenskan fixtures show that even heavily favoured scorelines rarely exceed 8–12% probability. AIK has been the stronger side in recent seasons, finishing higher in the table and maintaining better goal differential than Hacken. When one team holds a clear advantage, draws and narrow wins (1–0, 2–1) become more probable than blowouts, which compresses the tail of extreme scores. The current 3% probability suggests the market is pricing a relatively unlikely scoreline—neither a consensus favourite outcome nor a statistical outlier.

Traders should monitor team news through late July: injury updates to key forwards or defenders will shift expected goal output, whilst fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season may affect squad rotation. Recent Allsvenskan form, available via official league statistics, will clarify whether either side is in a goal-heavy or defensive phase. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, so final team sheets and any late postponement announcements will be critical inputs before the 13:00 UTC kick-off.

Methodology

We track BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.