Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Hammarby IF defeated Degerfors IF 1–0 in their Allsvenskan match on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at 3 Arena. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s condition is met, while a NO share pays out if it is not. Here, the market covers “more markets” for this game, and the crowd-implied probability sits at 100% YES, meaning traders are certain the settlement condition will be fulfilled once the match window closes.

Historically, Hammarby dominates this fixture: in the last 11 meetings, they won nine times, Degerfors won none, and two ended in draws, with Hammarby scoring 33 goals against Degerfors’ eight [4]. This long-term imbalance mirrors the 72.25% implied win probability Hammarby held in a prior 2025 encounter that also ended 1–0 [3]. Such consistent dominance makes additional market outcomes—like total goals, corners, or half-time results—highly predictable, which aligns with the current 100% YES pricing.

Traders should watch the official match report and league confirmation that the game concluded within the scheduled window, as settlement depends on the match being fully played and recorded by the Allsvenskan. The result is already confirmed as 1–0 to Hammarby [1], and the settlement window ends on 19 July 2026 at 14:30 UTC, shortly after the 14:30 local kick-off [1]. No further announcements are expected, as the outcome is final and the condition for “more markets” has been satisfied.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.