Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kalmar FF 2 - 2 Malmo FF | 100% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
On 20 July 2026, Kalmar FF and Malmö FF will meet in an Allsvenskan fixture at 1:00 PM ET, with this market settling on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the listed score occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the crowd assigns a 0% chance to the specific outcome, implying it is deemed virtually impossible.
Historical head-to-head data shows a 2–2 draw in a recent encounter between these sides, yet exact-score markets in Allsvenskan rarely favour precise replication of past results due to the high variance in football scoring [1]. While Malmö FF and Kalmar have produced both-team-to-score outcomes frequently, the probability of any single exact score typically remains below 5% in top-tier Swedish football, making a 0% crowd-implied probability consistent with the market treating this as a long-shot rather than a near-certainty [2].
Traders should monitor pre-match lineups and injury announcements, as key player availability can shift scoring dynamics significantly. The Allsvenskan schedule is fixed, but weather conditions or late tactical changes could alter goal expectations; no postponement is currently indicated, and the market will remain open if the match is delayed [2]. Recent form suggests Kalmar is 43% better in goals scored compared to Malmö in this fixture, a factor that may influence exact-score probabilities if the match becomes more open [3].
Methodology
This page reviews Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF - Exact Score on Prediction Market UK
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