Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen are due to decide this exact-score market on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so a **YES** share only pays if the match ends on the specific scoreline listed in the market; otherwise it settles **NO** or, if offered, into **Any Other Score**. The crowd price of 0% YES implies traders see the named score as extremely unlikely relative to the full set of possible regulation-time results.

Recent results point to a game with real scoring variance rather than a narrow, low-event pattern. Benfica went into the tie having drawn 2-2 with Braga and Famalicão and beaten Sporting and Moreirense, while St. Gallen had mixed Swiss Super League form before the first leg, including a 1-1 draw with Thun and wins over Basel and Lugano.[11] In the first leg, St. Gallen beat Benfica 2-1, with ESPN listing 17 shots for St. Gallen and 14 for Benfica, which reinforces that either side can generate enough chances to produce a range of exact scores rather than a single obvious favourite.[9][14]

For traders, the main catalysts are line-up news, late injury updates, and any change to the scheduled kick-off or venue, because this market only resolves on the match actually played within the stated settlement window. UEFA’s fixture listing confirms the pairing, while live score and odds pages show the market is being priced around the regulation result rather than extra time or penalties.[3][2] In a prediction market, that means the key question is not simply who wins, but whether the final margin lands on one of the exact scores the contract recognises.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.