Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Tromsø IL (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% |
| Tromsø IL (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Hradec Králové’s Europa League tie with Tromsø IL is the real-world event behind this market, and the “More Markets” contract is about whether the exchange will add extra, related betting lines before the settlement window closes on 30 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if that condition happens; a **NO** share pays out if it does not.
The current **100% YES** crowd price implies traders believe the outcome is already effectively locked in, which is easier to read once you know the football context. Hradec Králové arrived in the return leg with a 1-0 aggregate lead after winning in Tromsø, where Mick van Buren scored late and goalkeeper Adam Zadražil saved a penalty, so the tie has already produced enough match-specific material to support extra markets around qualification, scorelines, or player angles. UEFA’s match listing and local previews also show this is a scheduled second leg rather than an open-ended event, which matters because “more markets” products are usually driven by the bookmaking timetable rather than the match result itself.[1][2][13][16]
The main catalysts to watch are whether the platform publishes new market categories before the settlement deadline, and whether UEFA or team channels confirm any late changes to kick-off time, line-ups, or match status. Because the market is framed around added trading markets rather than the on-pitch result, any official listing update from the exchange or a change to the fixture setup is more relevant than in-game performance; the UEFA fixture page and recent match reports provide the clearest baseline for that.[1][4][16]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →