Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5) | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Maccabi Tel Aviv are playing Sheriff Tiraspol in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League qualifying tie, with Maccabi already 5-0 ahead on aggregate from the first leg in Tiraspol.[3][11] In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the contract’s listed condition happens before settlement, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, the 0% crowd-implied probability on YES suggests traders see the “more markets” condition as effectively not being met.[3]
That reading is consistent with the match context. Maccabi’s 5-0 away win was decisive, and reporting on the first leg described them as “in complete control” of the tie after an early goal and sustained pressure.[1][11] Comparable scorelines in qualifying usually leave little room for a different overall narrative, so markets tied to extra statistical outcomes often price low once one side has established a large cushion and the second leg is close to routine rather than competitive.[1][3]
The main catalysts to watch are the confirmed line-ups, any rotation, and whether either club changes approach because the tie is already effectively decided. Match listings for 30 July place the game at Bloomfield in Tel Aviv, but some feeds differ on kick-off venue and timing, so traders should follow the official team sheets and live match reports rather than early schedule listings.[8][13] If Maccabi protect key players or Sheriff field a weakened side, that could affect “more markets” outcomes such as goals, cards, or corners; if not, the market is likely to remain anchored by the first-leg result and the match’s one-sided setup.[1][8]
Methodology
This page reviews MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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