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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 98% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) 97% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $659K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.598%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)97%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.591%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-8.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+8.5)90%
Match Winner83%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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