Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 100% Dragon Ranger Gaming | 0% XLG Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 100% Dragon Ranger Gaming | 0% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+3.5) | 100% XLG Gaming | 0% Dragon Ranger Gaming |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: dragon ranger gaming vs xlg gaming (bo3) - vct masters london group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Round 2 match between Dragon Ranger Gaming and XLG Gaming in the VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 9 at 10:00AM ET. T…
Methodology
We track Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) -… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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