Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open, qualification: kamilla rakhimova vs heather watson. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Heather Watson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
We track Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhim… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →