Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to hamburg european open, qualification: eva vedder vs georgina garcia perez. This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Vedder and Georgina Garcia Perez in the Hamburg European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs … on Prediction Market UK
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