Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| RCD Mallorca (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Real Oviedo (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RCD Mallorca (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Real Oviedo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
RCD Mallorca will face Real Oviedo in La Liga on 23 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This prediction market asks whether additional betting markets will be offered for that fixture. A YES share pays out if supplementary markets materialise (such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card-related wagers); a NO share pays out if only standard match-outcome markets remain available. The settlement window closes at 7:00 PM UK time on match day.
Prediction markets on "more markets" availability depend heavily on sportsbook behaviour and fixture prominence. La Liga matches involving mid-table or lower-ranked clubs typically attract fewer ancillary markets than those featuring top-four sides. Mallorca and Oviedo occupy mid-table positions in recent seasons, suggesting baseline demand for extended betting options may be modest. However, late-season fixtures—particularly those with playoff or relegation implications—often trigger expanded market offerings as bookmakers respond to increased trading volume. The current 100% probability implies traders expect supplementary markets with near-certainty, though this may reflect limited historical data on comparable fixtures rather than definitive precedent.
Traders should monitor La Liga's final-day scheduling announcements and any late developments affecting both clubs' league positions. If either side enters the fixture fighting for European qualification or facing relegation, bookmakers will almost certainly expand their market suite. Fixture postponements or rescheduling would alter settlement conditions. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled, combined with final-day stakes becoming clear in early May, will provide the clearest signals for market adjustment.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo - More Markets on PolyGram
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