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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $506K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Match Winner39%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 72% YES probability for LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers"…

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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