LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Karmine Corp Blue and Ici Japon Corp. Esport are due to meet in a single League of Legends map in the LFL Regular Season, and a prediction market on the winner pays out based on which side wins that one game. In market terms, a **YES** share is a claim that Karmine Corp Blue win; a **NO** share is a claim that Ici Japon Corp. Esport win. If the game is not played, ends level, or is pushed back more than seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either team.

The crowd-implied price of 0% for Karmine Corp Blue reflects a very one-sided view, but recent head-to-head results do not point to a clean sweep either way. Karmine Corp Blue beat Ici Japon Corp. Esport 2-0 in a Spring 2026 playoff meeting, yet Ici Japon Corp. Esport had also taken the previous regular-season BO1 between the sides 1-0 in April 2026, and the teams have split their recent direct meetings overall.[2][3][11] That kind of mixed record matters in short-form matches, where one draft or early skirmish can swing a game far more than in a series.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the fixture actually starts on schedule, whether there is a same-day postponement, and whether the match format remains a straight BO1 with no late rule change. Match listings from multiple live score services place the game on 30 July with an evening UTC start, but one source shows a conflicting 2025 date, so the safest reference is the official league schedule or on-stream broadcast confirmation if there is any doubt.[1][5] If the match is delayed or cancelled, the settlement mechanics matter more than the in-game favourite: a no-show or long delay can force the market to 50-50 even when one side looked favoured beforehand.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.