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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $590K Liquidity: $960K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: vivo keyd stars vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regu… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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