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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% O/U 6.5 67% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 54% Volume: $227K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
O/U 6.567%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.554%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates50%
NRFI46%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $227K.

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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