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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Five-platform snapshot of "New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 51% NRFI 46% Volume: $354K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.551%
NRFI46%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers42%
O/U 8.541%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
O/U 9.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Spread -1.530%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This mark…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $354K.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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