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San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

Five-platform snapshot of "San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals 55% O/U 8.5 53% Volume: $265K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals55%
O/U 8.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
NRFI48%
Spread -1.542%
O/U 9.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
O/U 10.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
Spread -2.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 78% probability to san francisco giants vs. kansas city royals. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% for "San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $265K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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