Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 92% |
| O/U 212.5 | 90% |
| O/U 214.5 | 87% |
| O/U 216.5 | 85% |
| O/U 218.5 | 81% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 220.5 | 78% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| O/U 222.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 75% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| O/U 224.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 69% |
| O/U 226.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| O/U 228.5 | 63% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 58% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 230.5 | 57% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| O/U 232.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 54% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 53% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 46% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 44% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 238.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 34% |
| O/U 242.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 244.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 248.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 23% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 23% |
| Spread -22.5 | 22% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| O/U 250.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
Market context
Bucks vs. 76ers — current market-implied probability: 96%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Bucks vs. 76ers on Prediction Market UK
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