Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 79% |
| O/U 212.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| O/U 218.5 | 62% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| O/U 221.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 222.5 | 53% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 223.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 224.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 228.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 33% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 25% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Knicks vs. Celtics. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
This page reviews Knicks vs. Celtics across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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