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Dolphins vs. Vikings

Five-platform snapshot of "Dolphins vs. Vikings" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% O/U 22.5 100% O/U 24.5 100% Volume: $4.5M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Dolphins vs. Vikings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 12.5100%
Vikings O/U 13.5100%
Vikings 1H O/U 6.5100%
Dolphins 2H O/U 6.5100%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Dolphins vs. Vikings0%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 26.50%
O/U 28.50%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 5.50%
4Q O/U 6.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Dolphins O/U 10.50%
Dolphins O/U 12.50%
Dolphins O/U 13.50%
Dolphins O/U 16.50%
Dolphins O/U 19.50%
Dolphins O/U 20.50%
Dolphins O/U 23.50%
Dolphins O/U 26.50%
Dolphins O/U 27.50%
Dolphins O/U 30.50%
Dolphins O/U 34.50%
Vikings O/U 16.50%
Vikings O/U 19.50%
Vikings O/U 20.50%
Vikings O/U 23.50%
Vikings O/U 26.50%
Vikings O/U 27.50%
Vikings O/U 30.50%
Vikings O/U 34.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 6.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 20.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 6.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Team to Record Longest FG0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q0%
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Dolphins Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dolphins vs. vikings stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:05PM ET: If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Dolphins vs. Vikings".

Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.5M.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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