Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| Seahawks O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 84% |
| O/U 28.5 | 84% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 78% |
| O/U 31.5 | 77% |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders | 76% |
| O/U 32.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 71% |
| O/U 33.5 | 70% |
| 1H Moneyline | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| Seahawks O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 37.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 38.5 | 56% |
| O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| O/U 41.5 | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 44% |
| O/U 42.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 43.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 44.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| O/U 45.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| O/U 47.5 | 28% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Spread -14.5 | 27% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 48.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 24% |
| O/U 49.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 51.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 52.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| O/U 53.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| O/U 55.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 56.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 7% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 94% probability to seahawks vs. commanders. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.
Methodology
We track Seahawks vs. Commanders across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Seahawks vs. Commanders on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →