Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Colorado Avalanche and Vegas Golden Knights are scheduled to play an NHL playoff game on 20 May at 8:00pm ET, and this market resolves to the team that wins the game, including any overtime or shootout. In prediction markets, a Yes share pays out if the named outcome happens; a No share pays out if it does not. If the game is postponed, the contract stays open until it is completed. If it is cancelled with no make-up, it settles 50-50.
The crowd is currently pricing the contract as a 100% Yes outcome, which usually means the market is trading at the maximum price rather than signalling literal certainty. For a single game, that kind of pricing often reflects one-sided team expectation, late-stage playoff context, or very thin liquidity rather than a guarantee. The more useful comparison is with the underlying betting market: Colorado has been listed as a clear series favourite in recent coverage, around -260 to win the Western Conference Final, with Vegas near +210, showing the Avalanche are broadly seen as the stronger side overall.
Traders should watch for any line-up news, goaltender confirmations, injury reports, and schedule changes, because those can move both the game line and the market price quickly. In playoff hockey, small dependencies matter: a late scratch, an unexpected start for a backup netminder, or a postponement pushed by arena or broadcast scheduling can all change the path to settlement. Recent coverage from SI and betting-market previews has kept Colorado as the heavier favourite, while the listed market rules mean only the final result on the ice matters, not regulation time alone.
Methodology
This page reviews Golden Knights vs. Avalanche across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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