Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Vegas Golden Knights and Colorado Avalanche are due to meet in NHL play-off action on 22 May, with the market settling on whichever side wins the game, including overtime or a shootout. In a prediction market, a YES share pays out if the named outcome happens, while a NO share pays out if it does not. Here, a YES on Golden Knights means Vegas must be the official winner; a YES on Avalanche means Colorado must be the official winner. Because the settlement window closes before the game is scheduled to start, the main question is simply who takes the result on the night, not the series score or margin.

The current crowd-implied probability of 39% YES points to Colorado being favoured, which fits the wider market read in the preview material. Sports Gambler put the Avalanche around -185, while Oddschecker highlighted Colorado’s 60-minute regulation moneyline at -120, both implying a higher win chance than Vegas. That said, this is a single-game market and hockey results are volatile, especially in the play-offs where overtime is common and one bounce can decide the outcome. For new readers, probabilities in prediction markets reflect the price at which traders are willing to buy YES or NO shares, so the figure is a live consensus rather than a fixed forecast.

Traders will be watching for late team news, confirmed starting goaltenders, and any lineup changes before puck drop, since those can shift the price quickly. The market description also matters: if the game were postponed, it would stay open until played, while a cancellation with no make-up would resolve 50-50. Recent previews from Oddschecker and Sports Gambler both leaned towards a lower-scoring game, with the total set around 6.5 goals, so any move in expected pace or goaltending confirmation could affect the implied winner. The key dependency is the actual final result after any extra time, because that is what determines settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.