SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Lazio host Pisa in Serie A on Sunday evening in Rome, and a YES share here pays out if the match is played and settles as scheduled before the window closes. A NO share pays out if the fixture is not completed within the settlement rules, so the market is mostly a check on whether the game goes ahead in time rather than a bet on the scoreline.

The 60% YES price suggests the market is leaning towards completion, but not treating it as certain. That is broadly consistent with a routine top-flight league fixture at the end of the season: there is usually little uncertainty unless there is a postponement risk from weather, safety issues, or scheduling changes. Recent listings from FOX Sports, Sofascore and ESPN all show the match set for 23 May 2026 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, which supports the view that the game is currently expected to be played as planned.

Traders should watch for any late club or league announcements, plus changes to kick-off time, venue, or broadcast scheduling that might affect whether the match finishes inside the settlement window ending 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC. Line-up news matters only indirectly for this market, but any match disruption, abandonment or rescheduling would be the key catalyst for a NO outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.