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Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $319K Liquidity: $444K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
IK Sirius O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius O/U 1.5100%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
IK Sirius (-1.5)84%
O/U 2.561%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
Halmstads BK O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
IK Sirius O/U 2.546%
IK Sirius (-2.5)37%
Halmstads BK O/U 0.528%
Both Teams to Score27%
O/U 3.523%
O/U 4.56%
Halmstads BK O/U 1.54%
Halmstads BK (-1.5)2%
O/U 5.52%
Halmstads BK (-2.5)1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 100%. More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for August 3 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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