Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Hammarby Fotboll are due to face RSC Anderlecht in a UEFA Europa League match, and this market will pay out on the *exact* final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not extra time or penalties. For new prediction-market readers, a YES share means the listed scoreline happens; a NO share means it does not, and any unlisted result is treated as “Any Other Score”.

A 0% crowd-implied probability suggests the market is pricing the named scoreline as effectively impossible or at least not expected by traders. In football, that is common for exact-score markets because the number of possible outcomes is large and the score must match precisely; recent match listings for this fixture also point to a tight contest being considered, with one live match page showing Hammarby IF 0–0 RSC Anderlecht during the game state.[4] Head-to-head style data from FootyStats also indicates uncertainty around whether both sides will score, which is consistent with how exact-score markets tend to remain very thinly supported even when a match looks competitive.[1]

The main catalysts to watch are the confirmed team sheets, any late injury or suspension news, and whether the fixture proceeds as scheduled, because postponement keeps the market open until the match is completed. The scoreline is especially sensitive to early red cards, weather-related disruption, or a late schedule change that alters who starts and how aggressively each side approaches the game. Market participants also tend to reprice sharply once official line-ups are announced, since exact-score probabilities can move quickly on small changes in finishing quality or defensive selection.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.