Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| O/U 156.5 | 52% |
| Michaela Onyenwere: Points O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| O/U 157.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 158.5 | 46% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics | 32% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Aneesah Morrow: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Brittney Griner: Points O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 53% probability to connecticut sun vs. washington mystics. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 28 at 7:30PM ET: If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Wash…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $52K.
Methodology
This page reviews Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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