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Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Five-platform snapshot of "Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -5.5 54% O/U 161.5 53% O/U 162.5 51% Spread -6.5 49% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $265K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -5.554%
O/U 161.553%
O/U 162.551%
Spread -6.549%
O/U 163.548%
Odyssey Sims: Rebounds O/U 2.547%
Spread -7.544%
Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 10.541%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.536%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 2.535%
Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.533%
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries31%
Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.531%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 3.531%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 9.529%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.528%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.528%
Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.528%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.528%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 12.528%
Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 15.527%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.527%
Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 9.527%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 18.527%
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.526%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.526%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.525%
Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.525%
Odyssey Sims: Assists O/U 3.525%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 2.525%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.525%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.523%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 12.520%

Market context

Market consensus: 54% chance of dallas wings vs. golden state valkyries. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -5.5 at 54% for "Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries".

Spread -5.5 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries on Prediction Market UK

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Related Topics

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